Baseball betting pick
January 18th MLB news ... Welcome to Baseball betting pick, the site with the baseball gambler in mind.
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Whether you crave an analysis on a pitching match-up or a breakdown of how a particular team plays away on grass, this site will provide you with all of that information and so much more.
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Giancarlo Stanton playing a dangerous game: believing in the Marlins2014-11-17
And with that out of the way, and Stantons signature soon to dry on a contract that guarantees him this ungodly sum, comes the answer to a question philosophers and paupers alike have asked for eons: Apparently, the price of a soul is $325 million.
What Robert Johnson did with a guitar, Giancarlo Stanton does with a bat, and in order to preserve that in Miami, Jeffrey Loria promised Stanton just shy of what he spent on his entire teams combined payroll for the first eight seasons he owned it. This is a staggering deal, a monumental deal, the sort of deal in years and dollars that fits the New York Yankees or Los Angeles Dodgers or Boston Red Soxs bailiwick.
Here, instead, are the Miami Marlins, owned by Loria, the man who along with his ex-wifes son, David Samson, weaseled his way into taxpayers building him a brand-new ballpark despite his continuous ability to trade away all the players worth a damn under his control. He has done this again, and again, and again, and this time he swears its different, and maybe it actually is, because Stanton and the advisers that surround him are intelligent, conscientious, forthright people who wouldnt sign just for the years and the dollars.
What that combination can do is make you want to believe the best in people, even people like Loria
and Samson, whose last endeavor into big money ended in a spectacular fire sale that drew Stantons ire. He was the last person they wanted angry: a monster power hitter in a sport with a dearth, a marketer's fantasy with his handsome looks and multiple ethnicities that appeal to a wide swath, a good person and a grand presence and a dream anchor around which to build, if only the Marlins could build something Loria and Samson would keep together longer than a sneeze.
The fine print of the contract remains a secret for now, and perhaps it contains a greater explanation of what took Stanton from vehemently against any sort of extension with the Marlins to offering Loria and Samson his prime. Surely an opt-out clause helps. Ultimately, this may be baseballs version of a football deal: big in years and dollars, far smaller in reality. If Stanton gets an opt-out at 30 years old, say, this would essentially be a five-year contract with an eight-year insurance policy for Stanton.
Giving the Marlins a half-decade to prove Lorias previous decade-plus of ownership was a mirage is generous of Stanton. He couldve waited two years, hit free agency and landed the mother lode then. Only he saw, with one Mike Fiers pitch in September that shattered his face and required surgery, how little is guaranteed, how the baseball gods can smite even the good.
The Marlins did right by Stanton during his recovery, engendering good will before meeting with him and delivering the sort of staggering contract proposal that included a huge chunk of we-know-you-cant-stand-us money. The Marlins tried to wipe away their misdeeds with zeroes. And no matter how principled a man, how stubborn he may be in his opinion, staring at this $325,000,000 at 25 years old forces him to ask the logical follow-up: OK, so what now?
The answer satisfied Stanton. Hes got at least one fail-safe key in an opt-out, and with a 13-year deal and a creative agent, there could be more possibilities for him to abscond more than one opt-out or vesting opt-outs in addition to the no-trade clause that protects the Marlins from straight dumping him? should Loria do Loria.
Can Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria be trusted to build around Giancarlo Stanton?
Can Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria be trusted to build around Giancarlo Stanton?
Which he will. Because rare is the 73-year-old man who suddenly looks at what made him stinking rich and does the complete opposite. Unless Jose Fernandez is the rare Scott Boras client who ignores advice to hit free agency, hes gone after the 2018 season which means the Marlins will trade him before that. When hes shipped off, or Christian Yelich, or Marcell Ozuna, or someone else who gets too expensive, how will Stanton react?
We know what Loria and Samson will do: cast blame outward. First their payroll was less than Alex Rodriguezs annual salary because of the lack of a viable stadium. Then when the stadium was built and they lost, they blamed their dumping money on an underachieving team. Its always something with them.
Stanton knows this, and once he dots his I and crosses the pair of Ts, hell be locked in with a clear conscience and deep hope. Hes trusting people who have lied to keep their promises, and its a great risk. Stanton loves Miami and his team, and he believes that with the Marlins power arms and his bat they can win. Beating the Nationals wont be easy. The Mets, too, pose a formidable challenge. And if they want to compete with either, the Marlins must beef up their payroll well past the $100 million mark, because one guy taking up more than a quarter of a teams salary has proven incompatible with winning in modern baseball.
Over the next few years, Stanton will find out whether his trust was well-placed or this truly was a Faustian bargain. Hes about to inherit a title: highest-paid athlete ever. He wants another: World Series champion. The latter ultimately goes back to the Marlins, to Loria and Samson, whose past actions would doom Stantons sobriquets mutually exclusive.
No, you cant turn down $325 million. Giancarlo Stanton will get his money if he wants it, and theres great solace in that, and hell opt out if he wants that, and theres comfort there, too. Ever present will be Jeffrey Loria, the majordomo of the Marlins, paying his hefty price, getting exactly what he wanted, smiling with his devilish grin.
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MLB: Time for MLB Trendy Talk 2010-05-25
Baseball, like any sport is often decided by how teams matchup. Often, little secrets emerge when two teams face off and they can be frequently found in baseball trends. Those participating in sports betting can grab an edge they might otherwise not have with a couple of key points about any given contest on a typical slate of 15 games. Take the time to peruse baseball’s top trends for tonight below, then head over to the LIVE ODDS page on Sportsbook.com for the latest game prices.
In the National League the Cincinnati Reds host Pittsburgh being tied with the St. Louis atop the Central Division. The Reds are a -170 money line favorite at Sportsbook.com and have feasted on rotten teams. Cincy is 12-2 playing against a bad club with 38-46 win percentage and is 11-2 if a NL team has an on-base percentage .315 or worse this season.
Philadelphia visits the New York Mets and is 10-2 on the road after seven or more consecutive home games the last three seasons. Tonight, the Phillies starter is Jamie Moyer and he and the Phils are 14-3 in road encounters against division opponents since 2008.
Atlanta heads to south Florida with the total at nine. This might be setting up as Under play since the Braves are 14-3 UNDER in road games when playing with a day off over the last three years and Florida starter Anibal Sanchez is 11-1 UNDER when the ML is +125 to -125.
The Houston at Milwaukee matchup is like picking your own poison. The Brewers are 4-14 at Miller Park and 2-7 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Astros on the other hand are 15-29 and 7-21 coming of a loss. Houston will start Felipe Paulino, who is 0-6 this year, and he and the ‘Stros are 2-15 as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last two seasons.
Over in the American League, two scuffling Central Division partners do battle in Cleveland. The Chicago White Sox are underachieving 19-25 and cannot formulate any momentum with 4-14 record after a win in 2010. The Indians have hitting and pitching woes are 4-17 after scoring four runs or less in five straight games since 2008. The Pale Hose are -132 ML favorites because of starter Jake Peavy.
Oakland has won three in a row and five of seven to climb back over .500 at 23-22 and has owned Baltimore with 13-2 mark. The A’s are -111 ML road faves behind Dallas “Mr. Perfect” Braden; however an inkling of doubt arises. The Athletics are feeble 0-13 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better.
Minnesota, like a lot of AL clubs, has problems with the New York Yankees. The Twins are 5-18 vs. New York and 4-7 at home the last couple of years. The simplest explanation is the 16-32 record vs. an AL team with an on-base percentage of .345 or better. Minnesota will try to change their luck in new Target Field against the Bronx Bombers, but are 12-30 versus AL squads scoring 5.2 or more runs a game.
The Toronto Blue Jays continue to mash, leading baseball with 76 dingers and are 12-4 in road encounters when playing against a team with a losing record after last night’s impressive 6-0 white-washing of the L.A. Angels. The Halos are presently listed as a Pick with a great deal of line movement. This evening they give the ball to Ervin Santana who is 22-8 throwing at the Big A vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs game. (Team's Record)
MLB: Final MLB Weekend Betting Trends 10/2-10/42009-10-02
The Major League Baseball season is down to its final weekend, and just one order of business remains to be settled before the postseason begins on Tuesday. With Colorado becoming the most recent team to clinch a playoff berth yesterday, only the A.L. Central representative has left to be decided. Detroit goes into the weekend with a two-game lead on Minnesota, with the clubs having just split four games this week in Motown. Read on as we go through the upcoming weekend series for each team and assess their chances at extending their season. Plus, we’ll cover the other intriguing action and release the top StatFox betting trends for you to utilize in your weekend wagering.
On paper, it would seem that the Twins have the better matchup this weekend, hosting Kansas City for three games. The Royals started making vacation plans for October a long time ago, and are 29-games below .500 for the season. They are also just 2-6 in their last eight games. The Twins are only in a position to stay alive for a postseason berth because of their success against division opponents, as they are 42-27 for +11.0 units in 2009 vs. A.L. Central foes. Included in that is a 9-6 mark against Kansas City. However, the Royals own a 4-2 series edge in the games at the Metrodome this year and pose a threat to the Twins playoff hopes if for no other reason than that ace Zack Greinke is scheduled to pitch on Saturday.
The Tigers aren’t exactly seizing control of the division and come into their weekend set against Chicago with a 3-4 mark in their L7 games. Detroit has been hitting well in that span at .279, but leaving a ton of runners on base, 8.3 per game. The White Sox hope to finish their season strong and continue where they left off a week ago at home versus Detroit, when they took two of three. They’ve been winning with pitching, as five of their last six opponents have been held t seven hits or less. Still, they are just 34-44 on the road in ’09, while Detroit boasts an impressive 50-28 mark at Comerica Park.
With a magic number of 2 for clinching the title, the Tigers can take care of business as early as Friday night or win out themselves by taking two of three from Chicago.
In the National League, the games may not mean a whole lot as far as who is getting into the postseason, but there is still an order of finish to be determined. The Dodgers, Cardinals, and Phillies are all within two games of one another as division winners. The best record of course, gets the top seed, however, Los Angeles cannot host Colorado in the divisional playoff round, so that matchup will fall to either Philadelphia or St. Louis. Currently, it would be the Phillies, as they are a game up on manager Tony Larussa’s club. Philly hosts Florida this weekend, while the Cardinals wrap up the regular season at home against Milwaukee. The Dodgers meanwhile, will still try to wrap up home field advantage for the N.L. playoffs by taking care of business vs. Colorado.
Now, here’s a look at those top betting trends for the final weekend of the season. Good luck.